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東文研セミナー・日本台湾学会定例研究会（米中台関係の講演）「“The Big Picture: China Under Xi and What It Means for the U.S.-Taiwan-China Relations” / ザ・ビッグ・ピクチャー：習近平の中国とそれが米台中関係に意味すること」が開催されました
報告
How does the United States handle an increasingly confident China under the leadership of Xi Jinping? Does the Trump administration’s first National Security Strategy that labels China as a “strategic competitor” set the tone for the U.S.-China relations in the near future? Is Taiwan a bargaining chip for the United States to gain leverage with China?
On July 4, the Institute for Advanced Studies on Asia and the Japan Association for Taiwan Studies co-hosted a discussion on the prospects for U.S.-Taiwan-China relations. The event featured a talk by Dr. William A. Stanton, Professor at the National Taiwan University and former Director of the American Institute in Taiwan (AIT), and was moderated by Professor Yasuhiro Matsuda at the University of Tokyo. Dr. Stanton began his talk by indicating a growing U.S. recognition — at the legislative, bureaucratic, and popular levels — of “incompatible” interests and values with China and an emerging consensus on a tougher China approach. While the United States has seemed to place less importance on maintaining a positive relationship with China, evidence has shown that its support for a democratic Taiwan has increased. Can Taiwan expect further U.S support? Dr. Stanton concluded by specifying variables that can influence the likelihood and effectiveness of increasing U.S. backing Taiwan, which include the U.S. president’s unpredictability and the existence of influential policy makers that favor an engagement policy toward China. Following the talk, Professor Matsuda pointed out the current mutual frustration between the United States and China and posed the question of whether future U.S.-China relations would continue on a downwards spiral or would swing like a pendulum between positive and negative extremes. The Q&A session was followed soon afterwards.
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開催情報
【日時】 7月4日（水）18:00-19:30
【場所】 東京大学東洋文化研究所3F大会議室
【Speaker】William (Bill) A. Stanton（Professor, International College, National Taiwan University, Former Director of the American Institute in Taiwan）
【題目】 ザ・ビッグ・ピクチャー：習近平の中国とそれが米台中関係に意味すること
【司会・コメンテーター】 松田 康博（東京大学）
【Language】 English（質疑応答で日本語／中国語から英語への通訳サポートがあります）
【Summary】
“As Xi Jinping has consolidated his power in China, he has also initiated increasingly aggressive policies abroad, including the One Belt-One Road plan, the militarization of the South China Sea, and ever greater pressure directed against Taiwan. In response, U.S. policy under President Trump toward both China and Taiwan has been erratic and contradictory. On the one hand, U.S. support for Taiwan, both political and bureaucratic, including concrete measures to bolster our relationship is unprecedented. On the other hand, Trump has often undermined this support in pursuit of an illusory “friendship” with Xi Jinping. As a result, if “push comes to shove,” it is by no means clear Taiwan can rely on the Unite States.”
注記：本セミナーは、文部科学省・日本学術振興会科学研究費・基盤研究（A）「対中依存構造化と中台のナショナリズム―ポスト馬英九期台湾の国際政治経済学―」（代表者：松田康博）の研究活動の一部です。
担当：松田康博
登録種別：研究活動記録
登録日時：MonJul3010:55:552018
登録者 ：松田・黄・藤岡
掲載期間：20180704 - 20181004
当日期間：20180704 - 20180704
